Case 4: Did Michael Jackson die?
Age 14. I am with one of my parents on a business trip. For the past couple of days we have been visiting various landmarks such as Carlsbad Cavern and the White Sands to name a few while staying at cheap motels. Why? They like to save up on money to put it nicely. Anyways we had returned and during the entire trip I had been listing to music player which consisted of a list of video game music. So it's been a long day and after falling asleep I awake to a rather quiet motel... too quiet. It's as though something serious as happened. I then blurt out "Did Michael Jackson die?". My parent tries to shush me but then the tv next door confirms it when the news reporter announces him dead. I have never been a fan of the King of Pop nor has my parents. We saw and heard nothing about Michael Jackson during the business trip except for that one news report which we overheard and while it may comfort some of you to assume that teens make guesses all the time, that was not me. This was the first and only time where I guesses someone's death. I also at the time did not own a cellphone and so I couldn't have done earlier research but even if I could I wouldn't have any incentive to do so seeing how I was not a fan in the sense of being indifferent towards Michael Jackson.
Do I think that something psychic happened here? Honestly despite being surprising I think I'm going to have to chalk this one up to a lucky guess. Don't get me wrong, there was about a 1 in 39,000 chance that my guess would've been correct but lucky guesses inevitably happen. What matters more is consistency. Still we shouldn't completely disregard the anomalous so let's consider their hypotheses.
1. Precognition via Clairaudience
2. Precognition via Claircognizance
3. Precognition via clairsentience
4. Premonition
As I stated before, I do not hear mental voices so it's fair to rule out the first. I made a random guess so we can eliminate the 2nd and while I had a gut feeling that something serious had happened, arguably the unusual quietness of the motel could've served as a context clue. This leaves us with only a premonition. Premonitions as far as far as I can tell are usually divinely given for a purpose but as to what that could be... a sign maybe? It's too hard to tell. In any case I am more of the opinion that this case might be more of a case of luck independently then anything else however there's just one thing;
Some of you may recall that I eventually ran a retroPK session on myself to see if I could cause a trueRNG to output more tail end events, i.e. runs with no more than a 1/40 chance of occurring over 500 runs beyond statistical significance. Some of you may recall that in order to satisfy this I would need to get at least 20 such runs and that I ended up with 28, a probability of only 1 in 11,680. If we treat this as a parallel then perhaps we can include the possibility of some retroPK or to put that another way, given my retroPK results, it doesn't seem far fetched to say that my rate of randomly guessing an unusual event may be statistically higher than usual. Even then as they say, once is happenstance, twice a coincidence and 3 times a pattern.
Age 14. I am with one of my parents on a business trip. For the past couple of days we have been visiting various landmarks such as Carlsbad Cavern and the White Sands to name a few while staying at cheap motels. Why? They like to save up on money to put it nicely. Anyways we had returned and during the entire trip I had been listing to music player which consisted of a list of video game music. So it's been a long day and after falling asleep I awake to a rather quiet motel... too quiet. It's as though something serious as happened. I then blurt out "Did Michael Jackson die?". My parent tries to shush me but then the tv next door confirms it when the news reporter announces him dead. I have never been a fan of the King of Pop nor has my parents. We saw and heard nothing about Michael Jackson during the business trip except for that one news report which we overheard and while it may comfort some of you to assume that teens make guesses all the time, that was not me. This was the first and only time where I guesses someone's death. I also at the time did not own a cellphone and so I couldn't have done earlier research but even if I could I wouldn't have any incentive to do so seeing how I was not a fan in the sense of being indifferent towards Michael Jackson.
Do I think that something psychic happened here? Honestly despite being surprising I think I'm going to have to chalk this one up to a lucky guess. Don't get me wrong, there was about a 1 in 39,000 chance that my guess would've been correct but lucky guesses inevitably happen. What matters more is consistency. Still we shouldn't completely disregard the anomalous so let's consider their hypotheses.
1. Precognition via Clairaudience
2. Precognition via Claircognizance
3. Precognition via clairsentience
4. Premonition
As I stated before, I do not hear mental voices so it's fair to rule out the first. I made a random guess so we can eliminate the 2nd and while I had a gut feeling that something serious had happened, arguably the unusual quietness of the motel could've served as a context clue. This leaves us with only a premonition. Premonitions as far as far as I can tell are usually divinely given for a purpose but as to what that could be... a sign maybe? It's too hard to tell. In any case I am more of the opinion that this case might be more of a case of luck independently then anything else however there's just one thing;
Some of you may recall that I eventually ran a retroPK session on myself to see if I could cause a trueRNG to output more tail end events, i.e. runs with no more than a 1/40 chance of occurring over 500 runs beyond statistical significance. Some of you may recall that in order to satisfy this I would need to get at least 20 such runs and that I ended up with 28, a probability of only 1 in 11,680. If we treat this as a parallel then perhaps we can include the possibility of some retroPK or to put that another way, given my retroPK results, it doesn't seem far fetched to say that my rate of randomly guessing an unusual event may be statistically higher than usual. Even then as they say, once is happenstance, twice a coincidence and 3 times a pattern.